…ISABEL CONTINUES TO WEAKEN…

Published 12:00 am Thursday, September 18, 2003

AT 11 PM EDT…0300Z…THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN

DISCONTINUED FROM CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NORTH CAROLINA SOUTHWARD.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO MORICHES INLET NEW YORK…INCLUDING CHESAPEAKE BAY…THE TIDAL POTOMAC AND DELAWARE BAY.

AT 11 PM EDT…0300Z…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISABEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.7 NORTH… LONGITUDE

78.0 WEST OR ABOUT 35 MILES WEST OF RICHMOND VIRGINIA.

ISABEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 23 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS ANTICIPATED.

ON THE FORECAST TRACK…THE CENTER OF ISABEL IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALTHOUGH ISABEL WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES OVER LAND…STRONG WINDS GUSTS…MAY BE EXPERIENCED WELL INLAND ALONG THE TRACK OVER ELEVATED TERRAIN…AS WELL AS ON HIGH-RISE BUILDINGS AND OTHER STRUCTURES.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 345 MILES TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS

972 MB…28.70 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS… ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES…MAY STILL OCCUR ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS STILL POSSIBLE IN CHESAPEAKE BAY AND THE TIDAL PORTIONS OF ADJACENT RIVERS.

STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE OUTER BANKS WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY SUBSIDE.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES…WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS…ARE LIKELY IN ASSOCIATION WITH ISABEL.

THERE IS A THREAT OF ISOLATED TORNADOES OVER EASTERN VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEASTERN MARYLAND THROUGH TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY.