Norfolk State vs. North Carolina Central Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – March 3

Published 6:38 pm Sunday, March 2, 2025

Monday’s game at McDougald-McLendon Arena has the Norfolk State Spartans (20-9, 10-2 MEAC) taking on the North Carolina Central Eagles (12-17, 5-7 MEAC) at 7:30 p.m. (on March 3). Our computer prediction projects a 77-72 win for Norfolk State, who is a slight favorite based on our model.

Based on our computer prediction, North Carolina Central should cover the point spread, which is listed at 5.5. The two sides are projected to go under the 149.5 over/under.

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Norfolk State vs. North Carolina Central Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Monday, March 3, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Durham, North Carolina
  • Venue: McDougald-McLendon Arena
  • Line: Norfolk State -5.5
  • Point total: 149.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Norfolk State -245, North Carolina Central +198

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Norfolk State vs. North Carolina Central Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Norfolk State 77, North Carolina Central 72

Spread & Total Prediction for Norfolk State vs. North Carolina Central

  • Pick ATS: North Carolina Central (+5.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (149.5)

Norfolk State’s record against the spread this season is 16-10-0, and North Carolina Central’s is 12-13-0. The Spartans are 14-12-0 and the Eagles are 16-9-0 in terms of hitting the over. The teams average 156.9 points per game, 7.4 more points than this matchup’s total. Norfolk State is 4-6 against the spread and 8-2 overall over its past 10 contests, while North Carolina Central has gone 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall.

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Norfolk State Performance Insights

  • The Spartans’ +263 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 9.1 points per game) is a result of scoring 77.9 points per game (80th in college basketball) while giving up 68.8 per contest (83rd in college basketball).
  • Norfolk State is 242nd in college basketball at 31 rebounds per game. That’s 1.4 more than the 29.6 its opponents average.
  • Norfolk State hits 5.8 three-pointers per game (342nd in college basketball) at a 34.1% rate (179th in college basketball), compared to the 7.9 per contest its opponents make while shooting 33.3% from beyond the arc.
  • The Spartans record 100.8 points per 100 possessions (63rd in college basketball), while allowing 89 points per 100 possessions (76th in college basketball).
  • Norfolk State and its opponents have been relatively even in the turnover battle. The Spartans commit 11.7 per game (234th in college basketball) and force 12.7 (67th in college basketball action).

North Carolina Central Performance Insights

  • The Eagles outscore opponents by 4.4 points per game (posting 79 points per game, 59th in college basketball, and giving up 74.6 per outing, 262nd in college basketball) and have a +130 scoring differential.
  • North Carolina Central ranks 211th in the country at 31.4 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 31.1 its opponents average.
  • North Carolina Central connects on 7.4 three-pointers per game (212th in college basketball) at a 35.3% rate (104th in college basketball), compared to the 5.7 per game its opponents make, at a 29.8% rate.
  • North Carolina Central has won the turnover battle on average this season, committing 12.3 per game (279th in college basketball) while forcing 15.6 (sixth in college basketball).

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