How to Pick the Capitals vs. Senators Game with Odds, Spread, Betting Line and Stats – March 3
Published 12:44 pm Sunday, March 2, 2025
Monday’s NHL schedule includes a contest between the Washington Capitals and the Ottawa Senators at Capital One Arena, with the puck dropping at 6:30 p.m. ET. Whether you’re wanting to make a single bet or intend to build a parlay, you’ll want to take a look at our picks and projections in the article below.
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Capitals vs. Senators Picks
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Total Pick
Pick OU: Over 5.5 (model projecting 5.9 goals)
- This season, 32 of Washington’s 60 games have gone over Monday’s over/under of 5.5 goals.
- A total of 28 of Ottawa’s games have finished with more than 5.5 goals this season.
- The total for this game (5.5) is 0.9 less than the combined scoring averages for the Capitals (3.58) and Senators (2.8).
- These two teams give up a combined 5.4 goals per game, 0.1 less than this one’s over/under.
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Moneyline Pick
Capitals Moneyline: -162
- The Capitals have won 61.8% of their games when they’ve been a moneyline favorite this season (21-13).
- When it has played with moneyline odds of -162 or shorter, Washington is 9-8 (winning 52.9% of the time).
- Based on the moneyline in this contest, the Capitals’ implied win probability is 61.8%.
Senators Moneyline: +135
- In Ottawa’s 28 games playing as the underdog on the moneyline this season, it has 12 wins.
- The Senators have three wins in games when their moneyline odds are +135 or longer (in 12 such games).
- Ottawa has a 42.6% implied probability to win this matchup.
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Score Prediction
Prediction:
Washington 4, Ottawa 2
Capitals Points Leaders
- Dylan Strome has been important to Washington’s offense this season, racking up 59 points in 60 games.
- With 23 goals and 27 assists, Aliaksei Protas is one of the top contributors for Washington with his 50 points (0.8 per game).
- Pierre-Luc Dubois has contributed 49 points for Washington in 60 games this season, netting a goal on 14% of his shots and putting up 14 goals and 35 assists.
- As Washington’s top goalie, Logan Thompson has recorded 25 wins and 4 losses this season while allowing 77 goals with 871 saves.
Senators Points Leaders
- Tim Stutzle is a leading scorer for Ottawa, with 61 points this season. He has put up 19 goals and 42 assists in 59 games.
- Drake Batherson is a top contributor for Ottawa, with 47 total points this season. He has scored 16 goals and provided 31 assists in 59 games.
- Brady Tkachuk has scored 22 goals and contributed 21 assists for Ottawa, giving him a point total of 43.
- Linus Ullmark has a 13-11-2 record this season, with a .911 save percentage (13th in the league). In 28 games, he has 706 saves, and has given up 69 goals (2.7 goals against average).
Capitals’ Schedule
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Date | Opponent | Score | Home/Away | Moneyline |
---|---|---|---|---|
2/25/2025 | Flames | L 3-1 | Home | -201 |
2/27/2025 | Blues | L 5-2 | Home | -164 |
3/1/2025 | Lightning | L 3-1 | Home | -103 |
3/3/2025 | Senators | – | Home | -162 |
3/5/2025 | Rangers | – | Away | – |
3/7/2025 | Red Wings | – | Home | – |
3/9/2025 | Kraken | – | Home | – |
Senators’ Schedule
Date | Opponent | Score | Home/Away | Moneyline |
---|---|---|---|---|
2/22/2025 | Canadiens | L 5-2 | Home | -160 |
2/26/2025 | Jets | L 4-1 | Home | +129 |
3/1/2025 | Sharks | W 5-3 | Home | -311 |
3/3/2025 | Capitals | – | Away | +135 |
3/5/2025 | Blackhawks | – | Away | – |
3/8/2025 | Rangers | – | Home | – |
3/10/2025 | Red Wings | – | Home | – |
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Washington vs. Ottawa Game Info
- Date: Monday, March 3, 2025
- Time: 6:30 p.m. ET
- How to watch on TV: ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
- Location: Washington D.C.
- Venue: Capital One Arena
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