How to Pick the Lightning vs. Capitals Game with Odds, Spread, Betting Line and Stats – March 1

Published 12:43 pm Friday, February 28, 2025

Whether you’re wanting to make a single bet or have your eyes set on building a parlay, Saturday’s game at 12:30 p.m. ET between the Tampa Bay Lightning and the Washington Capitals features a variety of betting options. Before the puck drops, take a look at our best bets for this game.

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Lightning vs. Capitals Picks

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Total Pick

Pick OU: Over 6 (model projecting 6.2 goals)

  • This season, 31 of Tampa Bay’s 58 games have gone over Saturday’s total of 6 goals.
  • A total of 32 of Washington’s games have finished with over 6 goals this season.
  • These two teams combine for 7.2 goals per game, 1.1999999999999993 more than the total for this contest.
  • This game’s total is 0.8 more than the 5.2 goals these two teams allow per game combined.

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Moneyline Pick

Lightning Moneyline: -111

  • The Lightning have been victorious in 28 of their 42 games when they were favored on the moneyline this season (66.7%).
  • Tampa Bay is 28-14 (victorious in 66.7% of its games) when playing with moneyline odds of -111 or shorter.
  • The Lightning’s implied moneyline win probability is 52.6% in this matchup.

Capitals Moneyline: -109

  • In Washington’s 25 games as the underdog on the moneyline this season, it has 17 wins.
  • When the Capitals’ moneyline odds are -109 or longer, they have won 17 games in 25 opportunities.
  • Washington’s implied probability to win this game is 52.2% based on the moneyline.

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Score Prediction

Prediction:
Washington 4, Tampa Bay 2

Lightning Points Leaders

  • Nikita Kucherov is one of Tampa Bay’s leading contributors this season with 85 points. He has averaged 0.5 goals per game, shooting 14.2%.
  • Having scored 29 goals and adding 38 assists, Brandon Hagel is excelling for Tampa Bay through 58 games.
  • With 60 points through 53 games (31 goals and 29 assists), Brayden Point has been an important part of Tampa Bay’s offense this season.
  • As Tampa Bay’s top goalie, Andrei Vasilevskiy has recorded 28 wins and 15 losses this season while allowing 100 goals with 1182 saves.

Capitals Points Leaders

  • Washington’s Dylan Strome has collected 41 assists and 18 goals in 59 games, good for 59 points.
  • Aliaksei Protas has made a major impact for Washington this season with 50 points, thanks to 23 goals and 27 assists.
  • Washington’s Pierre-Luc Dubois has 49 points (14 goals, 35 assists) this season.
  • Logan Thompson has a .919 save percentage (fifth-best in the league), with 855 total saves, while giving up 75 goals (2.3 goals against average). He has put together a 25-3-5 record between the posts for Washington this season.

Lightning’s Schedule

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Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
2/23/2025 Kraken W 4-1 Home -279
2/25/2025 Oilers W 4-1 Home -120
2/27/2025 Flames W 3-0 Home -219
3/1/2025 Capitals Away -111
3/3/2025 Panthers Away
3/4/2025 Blue Jackets Home
3/6/2025 Sabres Home

Capitals’ Schedule

Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
2/23/2025 Oilers W 7-3 Home +117
2/25/2025 Flames L 3-1 Home -201
2/27/2025 Blues L 5-2 Home -164
3/1/2025 Lightning Home -109
3/3/2025 Senators Home
3/5/2025 Rangers Away
3/7/2025 Red Wings Home

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Tampa Bay vs. Washington Game Info

  • Date: Saturday, March 1, 2025
  • Time: 12:30 p.m. ET
  • How to watch on TV: ESPN+
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Location: Washington D.C.
  • Venue: Capital One Arena

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