Searching for best bets for the upcoming contest between the Washington Capitals and the Tampa Bay Lightning on Saturday at 12:30 p.m. ET? You’ve come to the right place. In the piece below, we provide our picks and predictions to help you make wise betting decisions for this matchup.

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Capitals vs. Lightning Picks

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Total Pick

Pick OU: Over 5.5 (model projecting 6.2 goals)

• This season, Washington games have gone over this one’s 5.5-goal total 32 times.
• So far this season, 31 games Tampa Bay has played finished with more than 5.5 goals.
• These two teams combine for 7.2 goals per game, 1.6999999999999993 more than the total for this contest.
• These two teams concede a combined 5.2 goals per game, 0.3 less than this one’s over/under.

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Moneyline Pick

Capitals Moneyline: -128

• The Capitals are 21-13 when favored on the moneyline this season.
• Washington is 18-11 in games it has played with moneyline odds of -128 or shorter (62.1% win percentage).
• Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Capitals have an implied probability of 56.1% to win.

Lightning Moneyline: +108

• Tampa Bay has six wins when playing as the moneyline underdog this season (which has happened 16 times).
• When the Lightning’s moneyline odds are +108 or longer, they have won three games out of nine opportunities.
• Tampa Bay has a 48.1% implied probability to win this matchup.

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Score Prediction

Prediction:
Washington 4, Tampa Bay 2

Capitals Points Leaders

• Dylan Strome has been imperative to Washington’s offense this season, recording 59 points in 59 games.
• With 23 goals and 27 assists, Aliaksei Protas is one of the most important offensive options for Washington with his 50 points (0.8 per game).
• Pierre-Luc Dubois has contributed 49 points for Washington in 59 games this season, netting a goal on 14.4% of his shots and recording 14 goals and 35 assists.
• Across 33 games played, Logan Thompson has a goaltending record of 25-3-5. During those games, he’s allowed 75 goals while recording 855 saves.

Lightning Points Leaders

• Nikita Kucherov is among the top options on offense for Tampa Bay, with 85 points this season. He has recorded 27 goals and 58 assists in 55 games.
• Brandon Hagel is crucial for Tampa Bay’s offense with 67 total points (1.2 per game), including 29 goals and 38 assists through 58 games.
• Brayden Point has scored 31 goals and contributed 29 assists for Tampa Bay, giving him a point total of 60.
• Andrei Vasilevskiy’s record stands at 28-15-3 on the season, giving up 100 goals (2.2 goals against average) and amassing 1182 saves with a .922 save percentage (fourth-best in the league).

Capitals’ Schedule

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Lightning’s Schedule

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Washington vs. Tampa Bay Game Info

• Date: Saturday, March 1, 2025
• Time: 12:30 p.m. ET
• How to watch on TV: ESPN+
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Location: Washington D.C.
• Venue: Capital One Arena

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