Thursday’s game between the Norfolk State Spartans (6-6) and Alabama State Hornets (4-6) going head to head at Mohegan Sun Arena has a projected final score of 80-73 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of Norfolk State, who is listed as the favorite by our model. The game will tip off at 5:00 PM ET on December 19.

According to our computer prediction, Norfolk State projects to cover the 4.5-point spread in its matchup against Alabama State. The over/under has been set at 149.5, and the two sides are projected to hit the over.

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Alabama State vs. Norfolk State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Thursday, December 19, 2024
• Time: 5:00 PM ET
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Uncasville, Connecticut
• Venue: Mohegan Sun Arena
• Line: Alabama State -4.5
• Point total: 149.5
• Moneyline (to win): Alabama State -200, Norfolk State +164

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Alabama State vs. Norfolk State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Norfolk State 80, Alabama State 73

Spread & Total Prediction for Alabama State vs. Norfolk State

• Pick ATS: Norfolk State (+4.5)
• Pick OU: Over (149.5)

Alabama State is 4-4-0 against the spread this season compared to Norfolk State’s 7-3-0 ATS record. The Hornets have gone over the point total in five games, while Spartans games have gone over six times. The teams combine to score 155.1 points per game, 5.6 more points than this matchup’s total.

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Alabama State Performance Insights

• The Hornets have a -29 scoring differential, falling short by 2.9 points per game. They’re putting up 79.3 points per game to rank 101st in college basketball and are giving up 82.2 per outing to rank 352nd in college basketball.
• The 31.2 rebounds per game Alabama State averages rank 272nd in the nation, and are 8.5 fewer than the 39.7 its opponents pull down per outing.
• Alabama State connects on 1.5 more threes per contest than the opposition, 10.5 (23rd in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 9.
• The Hornets rank 198th in college basketball by averaging 95.8 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 340th in college basketball, allowing 99.3 points per 100 possessions.
• Alabama State has committed 2.8 fewer turnovers per game than its opponents, averaging 8.6 (second in college basketball play) while forcing 11.4 (237th in college basketball).

Norfolk State Performance Insights

• The Spartans outscore opponents by 5.9 points per game (posting 75.8 points per game, 192nd in college basketball, and allowing 69.9 per outing, 147th in college basketball) and have a +71 scoring differential.
• Norfolk State loses the rebound battle by 2.2 boards on average. It records 28.5 rebounds per game, 336th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 30.7.
• Norfolk State connects on 6.4 three-pointers per game (306th in college basketball), 2.9 fewer than its opponents. It is shooting 36.2% from deep (98th in college basketball) and its opponents are shooting 33.2%.
• Norfolk State has won the turnover battle on average this season, committing 11.5 per game (165th in college basketball) while forcing 13 (121st in college basketball).

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